BMJ Public Health
● BMJ
Preprints posted in the last 90 days, ranked by how well they match BMJ Public Health's content profile, based on 18 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.02% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.
Yadav, N.; Yadav, A.; YADAV, N.
Show abstract
Sexual abuse among adolescent girls is underreported in low and middle income countries including Nepal. This study aimed to estimate the prevalence of SA among school girls, examined associated sociodemographic and contextual factors describe the nature and reporting patterns of abuse and assess the relationship with nutritional status. A school based cross sectional study was conducted, among 330 female students (ages 14-19) were selected through simple random sampling from two schools. Data were collected using a validated self-administered questionnaire covering demographic characteristics, abuse experiences, psychosocial responses and reporting patterns. Anthropometric measurements were used to assess BMI-for- age and height-for-age Z scores calculated using WHO AnthroPlus. Logistic regression analysis was used to identify factors independently associated with sexual abuse and adjusted odds ratio with 95% confidence intervals were calculated. SA prevalence was 33.3%. Most perpetrators were male (61.5%) and known to the victim, 63.3% involved perpetrator use. Reporting was low (16.5%) due to fear (42.2%) and shame (22%). Significant predictors included lower maternal education (AOR=3.03) and living in joint families (AOR=2.34).After adjusting for confounders, SA was strongly associated with thinness (AOR=5.59; 95% CI; 2.54-12.26), severe thinness (AOR=18.81; 95% CI: 4.21-84.07) and stunting (AOR=3.79; 95% CI: 1.88-7.62). One in three girls experienced sexual abuse, which is strongly correlated with growth impairment and malnutrition. These findings suggest that anthropometric deficits may serve as clinical red flags for underlying trauma. Strengthening school-based nursing programs and primary care screening is essential for early identification and safeguarding.
Strand, P. S.; Trang, J. C.
Show abstract
Female genital cutting (FGC) is identified within global health and human rights discourse as aligned with gender inequality and female disempowerment. The persistence of FGC in high-prevalence societies is assumed to reflect womens limited influence over decisions concerning their daughters. Yet anthropological research has questioned whether this interpretation adequately reflects how FGC is organized within practicing communities. Across two studies with 176,728 participants from 15 African and Asian countries, we examine whether mothers attitudes toward FGC predict daughters circumcision status and whether this relationship varies with regional FGC prevalence. Multilevel logistic regression models show that maternal attitudes strongly predict daughter circumcision status across both datasets. Contrary to expectations derived from disempowerment frameworks, the association between maternal attitudes and daughter outcomes is not weaker in high-prevalence contexts, it is stronger. These findings suggest that interpretations of FGC as reflecting female disempowerment may mischaracterize the social dynamics of societies in which FGC is common. Policy implications of the findings are discussed.
Mutibwa, S.; Wandiembe, S.; Mbonye, K.; Nsimbe, D.
Show abstract
Background: Preterm births contribute to approximately 35% of neonatal deaths globally, with an estimated 13.4 million infants born prematurely each year. Despite this substantial burden, limited evidence exists on time to discharge and its determinants among preterm neonates admitted to Neonatal Intensive Care Units (NICUs), particularly in rural Ugandan settings. This study aimed to investigate time to discharge and associated factors among preterm neonates admitted to Kiwoko Hospital in Nakaseke District, Uganda. Methods: A retrospective cohort study was conducted using secondary data from Kiwoko Hospital on preterm neonates admitted to the Neonatal Intensive Care Unit (NICU) between 2020 and 2021 (n = 847). The cumulative incidence function was used to estimate the probability of discharge within 28 days of admission, accounting for competing events. A Fine and Gray sub-distribution hazard regression model was fitted to identify factors associated with time to discharge. Results: Of the 847 preterm admissions, 70.1% were discharged alive within 28 days. The median time to discharge was 14 days. The cumulative incidence of discharge by 28 days was 68%, accounting for competing events. During follow-up, 165 neonates did not complete the 28-day period, including 88 deaths. Factors significantly associated with time to discharge included place of delivery (SHR: 0.62; 95% CI: 0.53-0.73; p<0.001), maternal residence in other districts (SHR: 0.69; 95% CI: 0.48-0.99; p=0.044), extreme preterm (SHR: 0.05; 95% CI: 0.03-0.09; p<0.001), very preterm (SHR: 0.18; 95% CI: 0.14-0.25; p<0.001), moderate preterm (SHR: 0.59; 95% CI: 0.46-0.76; p<0.001), triplet births (SHR: 0.40; 95% CI: 0.23-0.68; p=0.001), 2-4 ANC visits (SHR: 0.70; 95% CI: 0.56-0.87; p=0.002), <=1 ANC visit (SHR: 0.64; 95% CI: 0.49-0.85; p=0.002), respiratory distress syndrome (SHR: 0.64; 95% CI: 0.48-0.74; p<0.001), and birth trauma (SHR: 2.62; 95% CI: 1.60-4.29; p<0.001). Conclusions: Respiratory distress syndrome, fewer antenatal care visits, out-of-district residence, and higher degrees of prematurity were associated with prolonged time to discharge among preterm neonates. Strengthening antenatal care utilization and improving access to quality neonatal care in underserved areas may enhance discharge outcomes.
Akello, V. V.; Atieno, C.; Asiimwe, L.; Kurigamba, G. K.; Nakafeero, M.; Nkangi, K.; Kamugisha, D.; Vickos, U.; Jombwe, J.; Waako, R.; Byanyima, R.
Show abstract
BackgroundThe global burden of gastrointestinal (GI) cancers is projected to rise by 2050, with incidence and mortality in Africa nearly double global estimates. Surgery remains the cornerstone of treatment but imposes substantial financial burdens. In Uganda, where no national health insurance scheme exists, patients are especially vulnerable. We therefore investigated the magnitude of catastrophic health expenditure (CHE) among GI cancer patients undergoing surgery in public hospitals. MethodsA prospective study was conducted over 10 months in the GI surgery wards of a tertiary hospital, with ethics approval. Adults with GI cancer scheduled for surgery were consecutively recruited. Sociodemographic, clinical, and household expenditure data were collected at baseline and discharge. Out-of-pocket (OOP) costs, annual household expenditure, non-food expenditure, and capacity to pay were derived. CHE was assessed using Wagstaff/van Doorslaer and Xu thresholds and determinants of CHE assessed. Results164 participants were recruited, 54.3% were male and 75.0% aged above 50 years. The median out-of-pocket (OOP) expenditure for GI cancer surgery was USD 663, nearly twice the median annual household income. At the 10% threshold, the prevalence of CHE was 64%. Sources of financing for OOP varied by socioeconomic status (SES): households in the highest SES relied primarily on savings, whereas those in the lowest SES depended on asset sales and loans. School fees payment was disrupted, particularly among middle- and low-SES households. Factors independently associated with higher CHE included female sex, formal employment, curative intent of surgery, and low household SES. ConclusionOver half of patients experienced financial toxicity, often selling assets and compromising long-term security. The burden was greatest among poorer households, women, and those undergoing curative surgery. Findings highlight the urgent need for national health insurance in Uganda. Although recall bias may have influenced reporting, critical gaps in financial protection for cancer surgery patients are evident. Summary BoxO_ST_ABSWhat is already known about this topicC_ST_ABSO_LIGastrointestinal cancers are rising in incidence across Africa yet treatment of GI cancers is costly due to the multimodal treatment approaches. GI cancer treatment and surgery lead to catastrophic health expenditures even in high income countries. C_LI What this study addsO_LIThis study evaluates surgery as a key management modality for gastrointestinal cancers and quantifies the catastrophic health expenditure associated with it, found to be 64%. C_LIO_LIIt identifies risk factors for CHE in this context, emphasizing the vulnerability of households undergoing surgical cancer care. C_LIO_LIIt highlights differences in sources of health care financing across socioeconomic strata, revealing inequities in how households mobilize funds. C_LIO_LIIt highlights basic needs that are negatively affected by the shortage of resources such as education, and reveals a high likelihood of future financial hardship due to the impact of crowding out effect on income generating activities. C_LI How might this impact on clinical practice?O_LISurgery remains one of the most cost-effective and potentially curative modalities for gastrointestinal cancers, these findings stress the urgent need for financial risk protection strategies in Uganda. C_LIO_LINational cancer plans should prioritise procurement of specialised surgical equipment and safe guard vulnerable individuals especially females and financially deprived who stand to benefit from curative surgery. C_LI
Tumato, M. k.; bulicht, a. H.; anosetsagn, A. E.; aemiro, n. t.
Show abstract
Background: Severe acute malnutrition (SAM) remains a major public health problem among under-five children, particularly in low-income countries. Comorbidity, especially pneumonia and diarrhea, significantly increases the risk of morbidity and mortality among affected children. Methods: An institutional-based cross-sectional study was conducted from April 20 to May 20, 2024, among children aged 6-59 months admitted with SAM to public hospitals in North Shoa Zone, Ethiopia. A total of 394 participants were included using systematic random sampling. Data were collected through caregiver interviews and medical record reviews using a structured, pre-tested questionnaire. Data were entered into Epi Info version 7 and analyzed using Stata version 16.1. Logistic regression analyses were performed to identify factors associated with comorbidity. Statistical significance was declared at p-value < 0.05. Results: The prevalence of comorbidity (pneumonia and diarrhea) among severely acutely malnourished children was 15.48% (95% CI: 11.89-19.06). Children with low dietary diversity (<5 food groups) were twice as likely to develop comorbidity (AOR = 2.00, 95% CI: 1.09-3.98). Children of single mothers had higher odds of comorbidity (AOR = 3.00, 95% CI: 1.21-7.65). Additionally, very low perceived birth weight was strongly associated with comorbidity (AOR = 7.11, 95% CI: 1.43-35.48). Conclusions: A substantial proportion of children with SAM had comorbid pneumonia and diarrhea. Key predictors included poor dietary diversity, maternal marital status, and low birth weight. Strengthening integrated child health and nutrition interventions is essential to reduce comorbidity and improve outcomes among vulnerable children.
Lafaurie, M. M.; Vargas-Escobar, L. M.; Gonzalez, M. C.; Rengifo, H. A.
Show abstract
Recognizing the challenges faced by primary caregivers regarding the health of children with congenital craniofacial anomalies (CCAs) contributes to strengthening healthcare programs according to patient[s] and families differential needs. This qualitative study presents the experiences of 25 caregivers of children with CCAs from Bogota and Cali, Colombia, identified from care registries and consultation statistics provideed from public high-complexity healthcare institutions. Grounded in Giorgis descriptive phenomenology and employing thematic analysis, this research utilized semi-structured interviews and focus groups to explore the diagnostic process and its impact, experiences with healthcare services, and the caregivers role and daily care activities. Data were analyzed using MAXQDA(R) qualitative software. Findings highlighted the emotional complexity of caring for childre[n]s health. Challenges included late diagnoses, pessimistic views of the children with CCAs condition by healthcare team members; lack of effective support, information, and guidance from health staff; absence of clear care and referral protocols, and limited access to specific adaptations and timely specialized care for children with CCAs. There were also reduced therapeutic services, and a pronounced gendered caregiving burden when responsibilities fall almost exclusively on mothers. System fragmentation, reflected in deficiencies in communication and a lack of clear, coordinated, and timely pathways of care, as well as the absence of adequate psychosocial support for families, emerged as common structural problems in healthcare services in both geographic settings where this research has been conducted. Gender-sensitive strategies focused on alleviating emotional concerns and the burden of caregiving from diagnosis onward within a patient and family-centered care model are decisive. Improving comprehensive CCAs training for healthcare personnel and making adjustments to care pathways are suggested to contribute to the implementation of inclusive health programs that address the diverse needs of children and their families.
Deng, M. D. A.; Alayande, B. T.; Sheferaw, E. D.; Ngutete Mukundwa, P.; Fofanah, T.; Peter, M. B.; Kuron, D.; Bekele, A.; Dau, A. D.
Show abstract
BackgroundAccess to safe, equitable, and affordable surgical and anesthesia care is critical to reducing the burden of surgical diseases in Africa. To understand the state of access in South Sudan, we conducted a baseline assessment of surgical services in Central Equatoria State (CES) in May 2024. ObjectivesThis study aimed to survey public healthcare facilities in CES capable of providing essential surgical services. We used the capacity to perform cesarean section, laparotomy, and open fracture management--Bellwether procedures--as a proxy for assessing workforce, infrastructure, financing, information management, and service delivery. MethodsWe used a validated and contextualized Surgical Assessment Tool developed by the Harvard Program on Global Surgery and Social Change and the World Health Organization. Data were collected at the facility level and summarized descriptively using percentages, means (standard deviations), medians (minimum, maximum), and visualized in graphs, charts, and tables. ResultsAll three public health facilities assessed could perform Bellwether procedures for their catchment populations. However, workforce availability, financing, and surgical infrastructure were major constraints. The surgical workforce density was 2.27 surgical, anesthesia, and obstetric specialists per 100,000 population. Specialized procedures--such as repair of cleft lip and palate, clubfoot, and hydrocephalus shunt--were unavailable at all sites. None had magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) machines. The total average annual facility budget was $918,850, ranging from $3,960 to $800,000 at the teaching hospital--insufficient for proper operations. ConclusionWhile Bellwether procedures are routinely performed, access to quality and affordable care is compromised by deficits in workforce, financing, and infrastructure. We recommend that the Ministry of Health scale this survey nationally and develop a surgical policy and strategic plan focused on improving infrastructure, workforce, and financing for surgical and anesthesia care in South Sudan.
Liffert, H.; Parajuli, S.; Shoaib, M.; Meier, B.; Chavez, L.; Perkins, J. C.
Show abstract
BackgroundOut-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) survival depends on timely bystander cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR) and quick defibrillation via automated external defibrillator (AED). However, access to CPR education and willingness to intervene are not equitably distributed. Within the Muslim community, intersecting religious identity, language, immigration-related concerns, and other social determinants of health may affect CPR/AED education, bystander response, and ultimately OHCA outcomes, underscoring the need for culturally responsive, faith-based training models. MethodsA survey based cross sectional study was conducted to evaluate the perceived barriers to emergency response and lay rescuer cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR). Individuals aged 13 years and older were recruited between January and June 2025 through convenience sampling at free, non-certification public CPR/AED classes, where participants self-reported demographic characteristics and barriers to calling 9-1-1 or initiating CPR. Analyses compared Muslim and non-Muslim participants using Fisher exact tests and multivariable logistic regression models adjusted for demographic and socioeconomic factors, with results reported as odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI). ResultsOf the 651 surveys collected, 33% of participants identified as Muslim, and 46% reported no prior CPR/AED training, with a higher proportion among Muslim respondents (57% vs 41%). Religion was significantly associated with some perceived barriers, with Muslim participants more likely to report law enforcement as a barrier to calling 9-1-1 (OR: 0.53 for non-Muslims vs Muslims, p=0.04) and less likely to report "no problem" starting CPR (OR: 0.91, p=0.04). Race and gender also influenced barriers, with non-white and female participants more likely to report immigration status, language, cost, and concern for violence as barriers to initiating CPR or calling 9-1-1. ConclusionMuslim participants were more confident in performing CPR, but reported less confidence in calling 9-1-1, revealing gaps in emergency response readiness. This emphasizes the importance of culturally adapted CPR/AED training that addresses specific barriers within faith-based communities and to strengthen all links of the chain of survival.
Baariu, J.; Murless-Collins, S.; Okello, G.; Mochache, D.; Okech, F.; Malla, L.; Cross, J. H.; Gathara, D.; Lawn, J. E.; Ohuma, E. O.; Macharia, W. M.; Penzias, R. E.
Show abstract
BackgroundNewborns requiring inpatient care, particularly small and sick newborns (SSNBs), face high risk of mortality. Newborns referred from other facilities may experience worse outcomes than those born and managed within the same hospital (inborn newborns). Understanding factors contributing to this disparity in outcomes could support efforts to scale-up care and accelerate progress towards achieving Sustainable Development Goals target 3.2. MethodsData on 130,773 newborns admitted to 13 hospitals implementing with NEST360 in Kenya were obtained from the Neonatal Inpatient Dataset, between January 2019-October 2024. We described characteristics and primary diagnoses. Logistic regression was used to evaluate factors associated with mortality. ResultsAmong admissions, 114,084 (87.2%) were inborn and 16,689 (12.8%) referred. Referred newborns were more likely to be extremely preterm (6.1% vs 3.1%), have extremely low birthweight (<1,000g) (4.6% vs 2.6%) and present with respiratory distress (26.2% vs 15.0%) and hypoxia (23.2% vs 15.3%) compared to those inborn. Only 59.6% of referred newborns were admitted on first day of life compared to 80.2% inborn newborns. Unadjusted mortality among referred newborns was 29.0% compared to 11.3% in those inborn. Risk factors associated with mortality among referred newborns included being extremely low birthweight (odds ratio [OR] 13.57, 95% CI 11.19-16.44), respiratory distress (OR 4.07, 95% CI 3.77-4.39), and congenital anomalies (OR 1.66, 95% CI 1.41-1.95). Prematurity and intrapartum-related complications were also associated with increased odds of death. In multivariable analysis, being referred remained strongly associated with mortality (adjusted OR [aOR] 2.54, 95% CI 2.39-2.71). ConclusionReferred newborns had nearly three times higher odds of mortality compared to those inborn. This may highlight referral selection bias amongst this group and could also be related to inadequate pre-referral stabilisation, unsafe neonatal transportation and admission delays. If successfully implemented, a strong hub-and-spoke approach may improve care at lower levels of care and decongest receiving facilities. Overall, improving quality of care across the continuum of referral process is a cornerstone in strategies to reduce neonatal mortality towards attainment of national and global newborn survival targets. KEY FINDINGSO_ST_ABS1. WHAT WAS KNOWN?C_ST_ABSO_LINeonatal mortality remains high in sub-Saharan Africa and newborns referred from other health facilities may experience poorer outcomes than those born and managed within the same hospital. C_LIO_LIThere is limited evidence on morbidity and mortality outcomes among inborn and referred newborns. This is important to inform specialised newborn care and targeted improvements in referral. C_LI 2. WHAT WAS DONE THAT IS NEW?O_LIThis study analysed routinely collected clinical data on 130,773 newborns admitted to 13 hospitals implementing with NEST360 in Kenya between 2019 and 2024. C_LIO_LIDiagnoses outcomes and neonatal characteristics were described and compared between inborn and referred newborns. Factors associated with neonatal mortality were also examined using logistic regression analysis. C_LI 3. WHAT WAS FOUND?O_LIReferred newborns had higher unadjusted mortality rate than inborn newborns (29.0% vs 11.3%; p<0.001), with 3 times higher odds of death in univariable logistic regression analysis (OR 3.20, 95% CI 3.08-3.33). C_LIO_LIReferred newborns were more clinically vulnerable at admission and had higher proportions of extreme prematurity (6.1% vs 3.1%), very preterm birth (14.0% vs 8.6%), and extremely low birthweight (4.6% vs 2.6%). Among both groups, key risk factors associated with mortality included birthweight, gestational age, respiratory distress, hypothermia, and clinical diagnoses. C_LIO_LIAmong referred newborns some of the risk factors associated with mortality included being extremely low birthweight (OR 13.57, 95% CI 11.19-16.44), respiratory distress (OR 4.07, 95% CI 3.77-4.39), congenital anomalies (OR 1.66, 95% CI 1.41-1.95), and intrapartum-related complications (OR 1.35, 95% CI 1.20-1.52). C_LI 4. WHAT NEXT?O_LIStrengthen neonatal referral systems through clearer referral criteria, improved pre-referral stabilisation, better neonatal transport, and prompt triage on arrival at receiving hospitals. Routine clinical data should be used to monitor referral processes and outcomes and to guide continuous quality improvement. C_LIO_LIFurther research is needed to capture referral to admission time, transport characteristics, and quality of pre-referral stabilisation. Linking neonatal admission data with maternal records and assessing outcomes beyond hospital discharge would also improve understanding of referral pathways and long-term outcomes. C_LI
Barre-Quick, M.; Yeh, P. T.; Kennedy, C. E.; Azuma, H.; McLellan, C.; Cooney, E. E.
Show abstract
Abstract Importance Stigma and discrimination against transgender and gender-diverse people are prevalent across many settings and may contribute to substantial health disparities. Objective To synthesize global evidence on the prevalence of stigma, discrimination, and resilience among transgender (trans) and gender-diverse adults. Data Sources A systematic search was conducted in PubMed, Embase, CINAHL, Cochrane Central, LILACS, and PsycInfo for articles published between January 1, 2010 and January 2, 2023. This database search was supplemented by grey literature and secondary reference searches. Article Selection Studies were eligible if they presented primary quantitative data on prevalence of stigma, discrimination, and/or resilience among trans and gender-diverse adults (aged 18 and over), with no restrictions on study design, language, or geographic region. Data Extraction and Synthesis Two independent reviewers extracted data using standardized forms, with discrepancies resolved by consensus. The JBI Critical Appraisal Checklist for Prevalence Articles was used to assess risk of bias. Random effects meta-analysis was conducted for dichotomous prevalence measures using inverse variance weighting and logit transformation; non-dichotomous prevalence data were summarized descriptively. Main Outcomes and Measures Outcomes included prevalence estimates for various forms of stigma (anticipated, perceived, internalized, and experienced), discrimination in legal/institutional settings (housing, healthcare, employment, police/prison), and resilience. Results A total of 97 articles, with data from 72,158 unique trans and gender-diverse participants across 26 countries, met inclusion criteria. Studies showed moderate levels of anticipated stigma, perceived stigma, and internalized stigma. Meta-analyses of 36 studies provided pooled estimates of discrimination prevalence across multiple domains: 21.4% in housing (e.g., eviction, rental denial), 24.6% in healthcare (e.g., denial of care, mistreatment), 32.8% in employment (e.g., hiring bias, workplace harassment), and 39.1% in police/prison settings (e.g., profiling, mistreatment). High heterogeneity was observed across studies, reflecting regional and methodological differences. Resilience scores ranged from moderate to high, indicating variation within trans and gender-diverse communities. Conclusions and Relevance This systematic review and meta-analysis found that stigma and discrimination against trans and gender-diverse adults are pervasive globally. Variation in stigma and discrimination across settings and regions underscores the need for targeted interventions and policy reforms. Funding World Health Organization through a grant from the Elton John AIDS Foundation and the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation.
Ruan, J.; Tao, Z.; Zhang, K.; Wu, S.; Yu, X.; Zhang, H.; Zhang, Y.
Show abstract
BackgroundGlobal under-5 mortality has declined by approximately 60% since 1990, driven largely by reductions in communicable, maternal, neonatal, and nutritional (CMNN) diseases. Yet the degree to which genetic disorders now impede further progress toward Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) 3.2 remains poorly quantified. No prior study has assessed the aggregate burden of genetically determined conditions as a unified category across the full spectrum of countries and development levels. MethodsUsing data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) Study 2021, we defined a composite "Total Genetic Burden" by aggregating 16 genetically determined causes of death, encompassing congenital birth defects, hemoglobinopathies, cystic fibrosis proxies, and spinal muscular atrophy proxies, across 204 countries and territories from 1990 to 2021. Age-standardized mortality rates (ASMR), proportional mortality ratios (PMR), years of life lost (YLLs), and 95% uncertainty intervals (UIs) were calculated. Temporal trends were assessed to evaluate the shifting burden over the study period. Age-specific mortality density was computed to identify periods of peak vulnerability. Deterministic frontier analysis (log-transformed quadratic quantile regression at the 5th percentile) was applied to quantify potentially avoidable mortality relative to best-observed global performance at each level of socioeconomic development. ResultsThe age-standardized mortality rate of genetic disorders in children under 5 declined from 1990 to 2021; however, the proportional mortality ratio nearly doubled (from 5.76% to 10.76%), and genetic disorders rose from the fifth to the third leading cause of under-5 death. This shift was most pronounced in high Socio-demographic Index (SDI) countries, where genetic disorders accounted for over 40% of all under-5 deaths in some nations (e.g., Libya, 46.32%). An "Epidemiological Paradox" emerged: absolute mortality correlated negatively with SDI (R = -0.79, P < 0.001), whereas proportional mortality correlated positively (R = 0.80, P < 0.001). Age-specific analysis revealed a "Neonatal Stronghold," with genetic disorders accounting for 57% of combined genetic-versus-infectious deaths in the first week of life but only 8% in children aged 1-4 years. Frontier analysis identified substantial efficiency gaps across all SDI quintiles; China and Japan sat on the effective frontier, while Afghanistan, Nigeria, and even the United States exhibited considerable potentially avoidable mortality. ConclusionsGenetic disorders have shifted from a secondary concern to a leading structural barrier to further reductions in child mortality. Achieving SDG 3.2 will require broadening global child health priorities beyond infection control to include prenatal screening, newborn screening programs, and pediatric surgical capacity building, particularly in low- and middle-income countries.
Ogwel, B.; Awuor, A. O.; Onyando, B. O.; Ochieng, R.; Hossain, M. J.; Conteh, B.; Mujahid, W.; Shaheen, F.; Munthali, V.; Malemia, T.; Tapia, M.; Keita, A. M.; Nasrin, D.; Kosek, M. N.; Qadri, F.; Kotloff, K. L.; Pavlinac, P. B.; McQuade, E. T. R.
Show abstract
Although the co-occurrence of diarrhea and malnutrition is well documented, research has largely focused on the acute management of diarrheal illness. Despite its importance, longitudinal evidence characterizing post-diarrheal recovery trajectories is sparse. We sought to characterize post-diarrheal nutritional recovery trajectories among children aged 6-35 months who were malnourished at enrollment using data from the Enterics for Global Health (EFGH) Shigella Surveillance study (2022-2024). EFGH enrolled children aged 6-35 months presenting with medically-attended diarrhea and followed them at 4 weeks and 3 months post-enrollment. This analysis included children with baseline wasting, stunting, or underweight (z-score < -2) and complete anthropometric follow-up. Latent class mixed-effects models were used to identify distinct post-diarrheal growth trajectories based on changes in anthropometric z-scores over time. Multinomial modified Poisson regression models examined associations between baseline factors and trajectory membership. Among 9,480 enrolled children, 16.5% (n=1,561) were wasted, 22.7% (n=2,155) stunted, and 21.0% (n=1,994) underweight at baseline. Wasting showed greater recovery potential (80.8%) compared with stunting (38.5%) and underweight (40.3%). Recovery was shaped by factors across multiple levels. Clinical severity markers ( prolonged diarrhea, dehydration, and hypoxemia) increased the risk of nutritional failure. Age also influenced outcomes: infants were more likely to worsen, whereas older toddlers more often experienced stagnation. Interventions including exclusive breastfeeding, oral rehydration therapy, appropriate antibiotics, and zinc supplementation, improved outcomes, while unimproved sanitation undermined recovery. These findings highlight the need for integrated strategies combining infection control, nutritional rehabilitation, and water, sanitation, and hygiene interventions tailored to the childrens developmental stage. Key MessagesO_LIPost-diarrheal nutritional recovery is highly heterogeneous, with wasting showing the greatest potential for improvement, while stunting and underweight often result in persistent growth stagnation. C_LIO_LIBaseline anthropometric deficits alone are insufficient to predict recovery, highlighting the need for dynamic monitoring and individualized management. C_LIO_LIInfants are particularly vulnerable to acute nutritional deterioration, while older toddlers frequently experience growth stagnation. C_LIO_LIModifiable protective factors including exclusive breastfeeding, ORS, zinc, and appropriate antibiotics, improved outcomes, whereas poor sanitation undermined recovery. C_LIO_LIIntegrated strategies, tailored to a childs developmental stage, combining clinical care, nutrition, and environmental interventions are critical to support sustained child growth and development. C_LI
Akter, T.; Kenya-Mugisha, N.; Nguyen, V.; Tagoola, A.; Kumbakumba, E.; Wong, H.; Kabakyenga, J.; Kissoon, N.; Businge, S.; Ansermino, J. M.; Wiens, M. O.
Show abstract
Background: Many children under five die post hospital discharge in low-and middle-income countries (LMICs), particularly after treatment for severe infections. While some models exist, evidence on risk prediction for post-discharge mortality remains limited, with most relying solely on admission characteristics, overlooking in-hospital disease progression and discharge features. Methods: We used secondary data from prospective cohort studies in six Ugandan hospitals (2012-2021) to update models at discharge. Of 8,810 children included, 3,665 were aged <6 months and 5,145 were aged 6-60 months. Models were developed utilizing an elastic net regression approach, with admission variables selected a priori and discharge variables selected based on variable importance ranking. Performance was evaluated by applying 10-fold cross-validation, area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC), Brier score, and Net Reclassification Index (NRI). Results: Models augmented with discharge characteristics outperformed admission-only models. For children aged <6 months, the model AUROC improved by 5.1% (95% CI 3.0 - 7.3, P<0.001), achieving an AUROC of 0.81 and a Brier score of 0.06. In the 6-60m cohort, the model AUROC increased by 4.4% (95% CI 2.0 - 6.9, P<0.001), with an AUROC of 0.79 and a Brier score of 0.04. The NRI was 10.41% for children <6 months and 14.51% for those 6-60m and was achieved primarily through a reduction of false positive rates. Conclusion: Adding only three discharge characteristics to the post-discharge mortality model based on admission characteristics enhanced prediction accuracy, including model calibration, discrimination and risk stratification compared to admission-only models. Keywords: Post-discharge mortality, Risk prediction model, Elastic Net regression, Low-and middle-income countries, Child mortality, Critical illness.
McDonald, A.; Sullivan, K.
Show abstract
OBJECTIVE This study investigates the long-term impacts of childhood exposure to voiding cystourethrogram (VCUG), a diagnostic procedure for vesicoureteral reflux. Primary outcomes include long-term health outcomes, mental health disorders, healthcare avoidance, and participation in risky behaviors compared to a control group. METHODS A 9-month retrospective cohort study was conducted with adults who received most of their medical care in the U.S. Respondents self-reported health metrics, behaviors, and outcomes via a 20-minute survey. Respondents were divided into two groups: those who remembered undergoing at least one VCUG in childhood (VCUG group), and those who did not (control group). RESULTS Of 334 respondents, 204 (61%) were in the VCUG group (mean age: 29, 70% female) and 130 (39%) were controls (mean age: 34, 70% female). Notable findings include: 47% of VCUG respondents were diagnosed with depression compared to 27% of controls. 15% of female-born VCUG respondents reported they would never visit a gynecologist compared to 2% of controls. 34% of VCUG respondents smoked regularly compared to 5% of controls, and 11% of VCUG respondents regularly missed work compared to 1% of controls. These findings highlight the need for further research and clinical consideration of VCUG's long-term consequences. CONCLUSIONS This study suggests that the effects of childhood VCUG extend into adulthood. Our findings underscore the need to reassess informed consent protocols and consider full-scale studies to minimize bias.
Werner, C. J.; Meyer, T.; Pinho, J.; Mall, B.; Schulz, J. B.; Schumann-Werner, B.
Show abstract
Purpose: Neurogenic dysphagia is prevalent in neurological inpatients and associated with adverse outcomes, yet its independent economic impact after adjustment for frailty and functional status remains poorly quantified. We aimed to estimate the independent effect of dysphagia on hospital length of stay (LOS) and costs, to test whether this effect differs between geriatric and non-geriatric patients, and to quantify the probability and magnitude of cost savings from improvements in swallowing function. Methods: We analysed 10,375 neurological inpatient cases (2021-2024) at a German university hospital. Dysphagia was defined by fiberoptic endoscopic evaluation of swallowing (FEES) or ICD-10 R13 coding (n = 1,382; 13.3%). Bayesian Gamma-log regression with informative priors from historical data and published literature was used to model LOS and total case costs (German DRG), adjusted for age, sex, Hospital Frailty Risk Score (HFRS, R13-adjusted), self-care index ("Selbstpflege-Index", SPI), stroke status, and emergency admission. A geriatric cohort was defined as age >=70 and adjusted HFRS >=5 (n = 2,053; 19.8%). Posterior predictive simulation estimated cost savings for hypothetical improvements of 1-3 points on the Functional Oral Intake Scale (FOIS). Results: After comprehensive adjustment, dysphagia was independently associated with 46.5% longer LOS (posterior ratio 1.465; 95% credible interval [CrI] 1.397-1.537) and 28.2% higher total case costs (ratio 1.282; CrI 1.213-1.354). The dysphagia x geriatric interaction was small but credible and ran in opposite directions: slightly attenuated for LOS (interaction ratio 0.908, CrI 0.837-0.986) but slightly amplified for costs (1.096, CrI 1.012-1.185), consistent with complexity-driven DRG grouping in geriatric patients. The absolute economic burden remained larger in the geriatric cohort due to higher baseline costs. In the geriatric cohort, a one-point FOIS improvement yielded a 74.3% posterior probability of LOS-based savings (mean EUR 555/case); at three points, this rose to 84.2% (mean EUR 1,115/case). The direct cost model confirmed high benefit probabilities from the payer's perspective (82.6% at dFOIS = 3). Conclusions: Neurogenic dysphagia is an independent and substantial driver of hospital LOS and costs in neurological inpatients, even after adjustment for frailty and functional status. The proportional effect on costs is slightly larger in geriatric patients, while the LOS effect is slightly smaller, consistent with the mechanics of the G-DRG system. Bayesian simulation indicates that improvements in swallowing function carry a high probability of generating cost savings, supporting the characterisation of dysphagia as a modifiable economic target with particular relevance to geriatric neurology.
Egyir, J.; De Cao, E.; Thomas, K.; Aurino, E.
Show abstract
BackgroundHome disciplinary practices shape childrens health and development. Yet, comprehensive, up-to-date global evidence on their levels, trends, and socioeconomic and regional inequalities remains limited. This study provides the first global prevalence estimates of both violent and non-violent forms of discipline, examining regional disparities, variations by child and family characteristics, and changes over time. MethodsWe drew from 176 nationally-representative Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys and Demographic and Health Surveys, collected between 2005 and 2023 across 83 low- and middle-income and 5 high-income countries (N= 1,544,000 1-14y-olds). We estimated weighted prevalence estimates for all types of discipline (exclusively or only non-violent, physical and severe physical punishment, emotional violence, exclusively or only physical punishment, exclusively or only emotional violence, both physical and emotional violence). Disparities by child age, sex, residence, maternal education, household wealth, and world regions were computed. We also assessed changes over time for countries with multiple surveys. ResultsOnly 19.1% of children experienced exclusively non-violent discipline; 55.0% and 12.7% physical and severe physical punishment; and 64.0% emotional violence. Violent discipline was highest among 6-9y-olds, in Sub-Saharan Africa, and in poorer households. Sex differences were more limited. Use of only non-violent discipline slightly increased in 26 countries, while physical and emotional violence decreased in 33 and 31 countries, respectively. Yet, in some countries, violent discipline increased over time. ConclusionsDespite policy efforts to increase its use, exclusive non-violent discipline remains low, and violent methods are widespread. Targeted and context-specific interventions for specific age groups and poorer households curb violence exposure at home.
Wilson, H. J.
Show abstract
The protracted Rohingya refugee crisis continues to deteriorate with approximately 1.2 million refugees currently sheltering in Coxs Bazar, Bangladesh. This study aimed to estimate the prevalence and identify factors associated with psychosocial distress among Rohingya refugees. Data were sourced from the 2023 Joint Multi-Sectoral Needs Assessment - a representative cross-sectional household survey conducted across the 33 Rohingya refugee camps of Coxs Bazar. Households were selected using stratified (by camp) random sampling. Psychosocial distress was assessed via proxy report by an adult household respondent and defined as the presence of at least one of eleven symptoms in the two weeks preceding the survey. Binary logistic regression was conducted to investigate household characteristics and individual factors associated with psychosocial distress status. The prevalence of psychosocial distress was 14.9% (95%CI: 14.1%-15.7%) among 16,455 Rohingya refugees sampled from 3,400 households. After adjustment, psychosocial distress was associated with individuals from aid-dependent households (aOR= 1.42 [95%CI: 1.21-1.67]), stress livelihood coping strategies (aOR= 3.03 [95%CI: 1.94-4.74]), crisis livelihood coping strategies (aOR= 4.40 [95%CI: 2.81-6.89]), emergency livelihood coping strategies (aOR= 4.15 [95%CI: 2.58-6.66]), individuals who required and received healthcare (aOR= 1.27 [95%CI: 1.12-1.43]), individuals who required and did not receive healthcare (aOR=1.49 [95%CI: 1.16-1.91]), individuals aged 18-34 years (aOR= 8.38 [95%CI: 6.99-10.04]), aged 35-59 years (aOR= 10.33 [95%CI: 8.44-12.65]), and aged 60+ years (aOR= 13.31 [95%CI: 10.25-17.30]). Psychosocial distress among Rohingya refugees was highly prevalent and associated with increasing age groups, aid dependency, negative livelihood coping strategies, and healthcare needs. The findings emphasise the need for comprehensive mental health and psychosocial support services in protracted humanitarian emergencies. Additional validation studies may be required to measure both the prevalence and severity of psychosocial distress to better inform humanitarian programming.
Coelho, J. A. P. d. M.; Nascimento da Paixao, A.; Guimaraes Almeida, B.; Näslund-Hadley, E.
Show abstract
Background Childhood sensory and intellectual disabilities represent significant yet under-recognized barriers to learning and human capital development. This study analyzes prevalence and severity of these conditions among 149.3 million children aged 5-19 years across 25 countries in Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC) using Global Burden of Disease 2023 data. Methods We extracted GBD 2023 estimates for vision loss, hearing loss, and intellectual disability across 25 LAC countries, stratified by age, sex, and severity. Regional estimates were calculated using population-weighted averages. Severity distributions were compared with OECD countries to contextualize regional patterns. Results: These conditions are estimated to affected 9,282,921 children (6.22%; 95% UI: 5.89-6.54%). Hearing loss was predominant, affecting an estimated 5.42 million (3.63%, 3.41-3.86), with 87.6% mild-to-moderate. Intellectual disability estimated to affected 2.56 million (1.71%, 1.58-1.85), with 61.7% borderline-to-mild. Vision loss estimated to affected 1.30 million (0.87%, 0.79-0.96), with 89% that can be effectively addressed with spectacles. Prevalence increased with age across all conditions. Male predominance was consistent for intellectual disability (2.00% vs 1.42%). Annual economic cost totaled US$19.3-29.0 billion, while comprehensive interventions would require US$9.45-14.23 billion with benefit-cost ratios of 2:1 to 15:1. Conclusions The distribution of children across milder levels of difficulty underscores the opportunity for education and public health systems to provide timely and accessible support. With approximately 88% of sensory impairments addressable through established technologies, investments in inclusive services can yield strong social and economic returns.
Smith, A. S.; Ayer, L.; Stevelink, S.
Show abstract
BackgroundExposure to trauma is associated with poor mental health, but little is known about how trauma profiles differ between ex-servicewomen and civilian women. Differences in trauma exposure may arise before, during, and after military service. ObjectiveTo characterise trauma profiles in ex-servicewomen and civilian women in the UK using separate latent class analyses, and to examine associations between trauma class membership and mental health outcomes within each group. MethodsData were drawn from the UK Biobank and stratified by serving status. Ex-servicewomen (n = 446) were compared with civilian women (n = 54,068). Within each group, sixteen lifetime traumatic experiences were assessed, and latent class analysis was applied to identify trauma profiles. Multinomial logistic regression examined associations between class membership and sociodemographic characteristics, and logistic regression assessed associations between trauma classes and mental health difficulties. ResultsFive trauma classes were identified for both ex-servicewomen and civilian women. Ex-servicewomen were less likely than civilians to belong to the low-trauma class (33.0% vs 62.8%) and reported higher exposure to childhood trauma and intimate partner violence. Among civilians, all trauma classes were associated with elevated odds of depression, anxiety, self-injurious thoughts and behaviours (SITB), as well as reduced meaning in life. Among ex-servicewomen, associations were less consistent; only severe cumulative trauma was linked to all adverse mental health outcomes, while other classes showed no differences in anxiety compared to ex-servicewomen with low trauma exposures. ConclusionTrauma profiles and their mental health correlates differ between ex-servicewomen and civilian women. These differences may reflect early life vulnerabilities, military experiences, and post-service exposures. Although ex-servicewomen reported higher levels of trauma, the associations between trauma classes and mental health were less pronounced than among civilians. HighlightsO_LIEx-servicewomen showed substantially higher prevalence of trauma exposure compared to civilian women, with the greatest differences in childhood adverse events and intimate partner violence C_LIO_LISeparate latent class analyses identified five distinct trauma profiles in both groups, with ex-servicewomen considerably less likely to belong to the low-trauma class than civilian women (33.0% vs 62.8%). C_LIO_LIThe association between trauma exposure and mental health outcomes was less consistent among ex-servicewomen than civilian women, suggesting that military service may involve resilience factors that moderate the trauma-mental health relationship. C_LI
Ochalek, J. M.
Show abstract
Estimates of the marginal cost per disability-adjusted life year (DALY) averted from government health expenditure (GHE) provide an empirical basis for allocating scarce health resources to maximise population health. Existing cross-country estimates have informed priority setting in several countries and international policy discussions but are based on data that are now more than a decade old. Since then, patterns of health expenditure, disease burden, and global health financing have changed substantially. This paper provides updated estimates of the marginal cost per DALY averted for 92 low- and middle-income countries (LMIC) by applying previously estimated elasticities of the effect of GHE on health outcomes from Ochalek et al. (2018) to recent data on mortality, morbidity, population structure, and GHE. Two policy options for improving health in LMIC are assessed: (1) the implications of countries allocating 15% of general government expenditure to health consistent with the Abuja Declaration; and (2) reallocating development assistance for health (DAH) to maximise health across countries. Scenario analyses use the estimated elasticities to reflect diminishing marginal returns to health expenditure when calculating the health gains associated with additional resources. Updated estimates of the marginal costs per DALY averted range from approximately $78 to $15,789 across countries. In most countries (72%), estimates are higher than in the previous analysis, largely reflecting increases in GHE. Increasing domestic expenditure to achieve the Abuja Declaration objective would avert 234 million DALYs but require $563 billion across countries. Reallocating $39.1 billion in existing DAH could avert 133.6 million DALYs. Updated estimates provide an empirical basis for informing both domestic priority setting and the allocation of international health financing. Aligning donor funding with country-specific opportunity costs could substantially increase the global health gains achieved with limited resources.